Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.559597 0.644989 0.737984 0.846637 0.969959 1.105432 1.265383
2025-08-03 0.417722 0.534930 0.675160 0.854625 1.077470 1.344303 1.687176
2025-08-10 0.333164 0.461504 0.626123 0.851312 1.149684 1.529600 2.047839
2025-08-17 0.273539 0.404641 0.582821 0.840307 1.200025 1.681382 2.370218
2025-08-24 0.230122 0.360738 0.547508 0.830623 1.244660 1.822814 2.684622
2025-08-31 0.191978 0.317549 0.505710 0.803689 1.257960 1.917155 2.936402
2025-09-07 0.177917 0.308274 0.511637 0.845965 1.373974 2.165456 3.427480
2025-09-14 0.152431 0.276779 0.478779 0.823513 1.387392 2.260191 3.694613
2025-09-21 0.131351 0.249413 0.448726 0.801114 1.396844 2.347028 3.953251
2025-09-28 0.114498 0.226898 0.423725 0.783548 1.411019 2.440339 4.226645
2025-10-05 0.105728 0.217742 0.420446 0.802251 1.486689 2.637729 4.682092
2025-10-12 0.101155 0.215802 0.429592 0.843365 1.603872 2.911835 5.283772
2025-10-19 0.094472 0.209132 0.429748 0.868961 1.697370 3.155430 5.856744
2025-10-26 0.086277 0.198336 0.420929 0.876940 1.759761 3.350100 6.360300
2025-11-02 0.077847 0.185802 0.407128 0.873530 1.799908 3.507087 6.806716
2025-11-09 0.069670 0.172614 0.390383 0.862258 1.823417 3.634563 7.207311
2025-11-16 0.062605 0.160879 0.375204 0.852340 1.848146 3.765195 7.621597
2025-11-23 0.054929 0.146569 0.352789 0.824753 1.834486 3.821071 7.897318
2025-11-30 0.053516 0.147120 0.363036 0.868052 1.969681 4.174171 8.767854
2025-12-07 0.047480 0.135308 0.344015 0.845057 1.963648 4.247758 9.095315
2025-12-14 0.042145 0.124466 0.325922 0.822115 1.955338 4.315447 9.414455
2025-12-21 0.037707 0.115308 0.310717 0.804122 1.955967 4.400842 9.774184
2025-12-28 0.035775 0.112716 0.311255 0.823280 2.041052 4.667724 10.524642